Uzbekistan, Tajikistan Set to Restore Normal Relations, Offering China Easier Access to Central Asia via Xinjiang

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Uzbekistan’s President Shavkat Mirziyoyev is scheduled to make a visit to Dushanbe in continuing attempts to repair relations over a two-decade cold war between Uzbekistan and Tajikistan. The visit, set to take place on  March 9 and 10, is expected to restore relations between the two countries, which have been on the upswing in recent years but were once deeply embittered.

After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Uzbekistan would involve itself in the then-raging Tajikistani civil war, which eventually stalemated in 1997. Relations then collapsed over the sticking point of land ownership along the almost 1,000-mile border between the two nations. Uzbekistan lined much of the border with mines in the early 2000s, and several sections of it still remain under dispute.

Since taking power in Tashkent in December 2016, Mirziyoyev has positioned himself as a reformer — including improving Uzbekistan’s frosty relations with its neighbors. He has visited Kyrgyzstan once, Turkmenistan thrice, and Kazakhstan four times in just over a year in office.

From 2010 until 2017, only two of the 16 checkpoints that allowed crossing between the two countries were open. On Thursday, Tashkent announced that they would reopen nine additional checkpoints, christening the event with a celebration rife with food and music.

Tashkent further resumed direct flights to Tajikistan for the first time since 1992. Uzbekistan may also abolish a toll on freight trucks and buses from Tajikistan entering the country, according to Asia Plus. They previously abolished a similar fee on rail freight. The slowly warming relationship between the once-bitter rivals has reaped financial dividends: the trade balance between the two nations in 2017 was US$236.8 million, 20 percent higher than the previous year.

“This is positive news for China’s Central Asian Belt Road ambitions”, says Chris Devonshire-Ellis of Dezan Shira & Associates. “New infrastructure development opportunities will arise and both countries need to improve road and rail connections. China will be interested in offering that as well as in opportunities opening up for mining exploration; Uzbekistan, in particular, sits on large gold reserves. China will also be looking to extend rail links through Tajikistan and onto Uzbekistan to facilitate trade and increase regional prosperity”.

 

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